What is Lay Betting?
Traditional betting is based around backing an eventuality to happen – a horse or a team or a player to win for instance. But, lay betting, the unique option brought to you by Exchanges such as Betfair, allows punters to oppose a selection. In other words, to bet against something happening.
Take football for example, if you lay Team A to win that means you think they will lose. Your bet will be settled as a winner if Team A loses or if the game ends in a draw – so two outcomes are playing in your favour! In Horse Racing, if you lay a horse, you win if any other horse in the race wins!
“I bet you won’t get a bullseye”; “I bet you won’t finish all that”; “They’ll never win if he plays.”
We all make statements to friends like this every day. What you’re actually doing is ‘laying a bet‘: betting something won’t happen.
Check out this video for more…
Betfair made lay betting possible
For example have you ever thought Roger Federer was way too short to win an event, but couldn’t decide who was going to win the tournament?
Problem solved – by laying Federer, you are effectively backing the field to beat him. Much easier to cheer the whole field!
Like anything too good to be true, there is a catch. Should your selection win, you’ll pay the backer his winnings, which could be a lot more than the stake. Just be careful how much you decide to lay.
Laying bets sometimes causes controversy because you are betting on someone or something losing – but it has always happened that way.
If you back one horse to win a race, then by default, you are betting AGAINST every other horse in the race – you can’t cheer them all to win!
Betfair simply make the process simpler, cutting out the bookmakers’ margins.
In many sports or markets, such as a tennis match or under/over 2.5 goals in football, betting on one side is exactly the same as laying the other option.
How do the odds work for laying?
Imagine two everyday scenarios – flipping a coin and rolling a dice.
You and your mate each put a fiver on the coin toss. One calls Heads, the other gets Tails, and whoever wins gets £10.
You backed Heads for £5 to win another £5. The odds you received were evens or 2.
Or looking at it another way:
You laid Tails. You let your mate have £5 on Tails to win another £5, at odds of 2.
Either way, if it lands Heads, you win a fiver, if it lands Tails, you lose a fiver.
In a two-horse race, backing one side means you are laying the other.
So what happens when the odds aren’t even, or there are more than two options?
Think of a standard dice (or die). Pick a number. Your mate will pay you every time it lands on six.
What odds should it be?
It can’t be evens or 2, because that’s not fair – you’ve got much more chance of losing than winning.
Chances of winning – one
Chances of losing – five
The true price of this bet is five to one, or in decimals, 6 (potential profit plus your stake).
So your mate agrees to pay you the true price if you roll a six. You put down £1, he risks £5.
If your price is 5/1, what price is he getting for his bet?
He has five chances of winning, and only one chance of losing. So the odds are 1/5 or in decimals, 1.2.
If you’ve noticed the similarity, well done. It’s simply ‘flip the fraction‘ to work out the other side of the bet.
True odds (such as 5/1 v 1/5) represent an efficient market
This occurs when all the money going into the market equals all the money being paid out in the market – there is no leakage or profits being taken.
Efficient betting markets rarely exist outside of betting exchanges – bookmakers need to reap a profit in order to run a business.
Betting should all come down to weighing up the risk versus the reward.
Laying at 2 will win you more if you are correct, but it is more likely to happen than laying at 6. But laying at 6 will cost you more should that result occur.
Backing at 2 is more likely to happen, but you won’t win as much compared to backing at 6. And if you have bet to win a certain amount, then backing at 2 will cost you more if the selection doesn’t win.
Placing a lay bet
Select the market as outlined in placing a bet.
Then click on the lay side, in the following example you are laying Jordan Spieth at odds of [8.0]. The backer is staking £10.
Your liability of £70 is taken from your balance as this is your worst case scenario.
The payout will be £80 but that includes the stake from the backer. If this bet was matched, there would effectively be a pot of £80 for someone to collect – the backer’s £10 stake, and the layer’s £70 liability.
If Jordan Spieth wins the tournament you have to pay £70 to the winning customer. If any other player wins the tournament you win £10 less commission.
When laying a bet, you can only win the other person’s stake
In the early stages of trading you’ll often see that market is not completely formed – meaning there is a gap between the best prices to back and lay a runner.
In this instance if you don’t want to lay the selection at the price available, you could make an offer.
Find out more about asking for a price.
Your offer would then appear in the back column waiting for someone who may think your offer is of value and will back the selection.
Your liability is the amount you could lose in your worst-case scenario.
When backing it’s simply the stake which you place. When laying however it’s the amount it will cost you if your selection wins. Either way, it is how much you are risking.
Ensure you monitor how much you are liable for
Be very watchful of where you put the decimal point. If you want to lay a bet at 4.2 make sure it is just that and not 42… otherwise it will be an expensive mistake should your selection win.
One thing’s certain though, Betfair will only let you risk as much as is in your account and at the best available odds.
If you lay multiple selections in a field your liabilities don’t accumulate, your bets offset each other providing the market only has one winner.
Use the What if function to test it out for yourself.