WARWICK Farm trainer Glen Thompson says if the real Just Keep Giving shows up today at Wyong she’ll be winning the Benchmark 63 Handicap (2100m).
The seven-year-old is coming off a fourth placing at Kembla Grange last start over 2000m, when coming off a five-week freshen up, and Thompson said it’s tuned her up nicely for today’s run.
“She just needed the run last start,” Thompson said. “She looked like she was going to threaten 200m from home but just blew out over the last 100m with the five weeks between runs, so I wasn’t disappointed with the run.”
MATT JONES’S BEST BETS
BEST BET: MONTRACHET (Race 8, No. 3)
This filly could be racing in better grade than this you would think but Team Hawkes aren’t rushing her and they have placed her well. She can win again.
NEXT BEST: JUST KEEP GIVING (Race 6, No. 3)
She ran behind an ATC Debry contender a few runs back and as long as there is no rain about she can get back into winning form before coming back to town.
Race 5: 1, 2, 4, Race 6: 2, 3, Race 7: 2, 3, 4, Race 8: 1, 2, 3, 6
TRAINER TO WATCH
JAMES CUMMINGS could have a field day at the Central Coast track. He has placed his runners well and could pick up at least three winners.
JOCKEY TO WATCH
COREY BROWN isn’t on a heap of favourites but he is riding a couple of horses that present good value.
BEST BET: GIVEM HELL (Race 6, No. 2)
She’s a filly that has to carry a bit of weight but this isn’t a strong race and she only rises 0.5kg in weight from her last start win so it shouldn’t be an issue.
NEXT BEST: KIJITO (Race 4, No. 3)
He’s had a little break and should be ready to fire off it with a top country jockey on board. He doesn’t have a great winning record but he start to turn that around here.
SCROLL DOWN FOR MATT’S EXTENDED PREVIEW & TIPS
Thompson expects a much improved showing this time at a track and distance she has had success at in the past.
“I think she’s quite handy and I think she’s the best horse in the race,” Thompson said.
“If she runs up to her best, she should be beating them pretty easily.
“There’s horses in it that are racing well but in lower grade. Richard Freedman’s horse has good form once it gets out over a trip.”
Celebris is the Richard Freedman-trained runner and he is fourth-up after a nice effort last start at Gosford, when second, and he looked to have plenty in hand on the line.
But Just Keep Giving’s formline is better and that included a second placing two starts back to Furore, who was unlucky in the Rosehill Guineas and went on to run well in the ATC Derby.
“She ran well behind Furore but I still don’t think she was at her best that day,” Thompson said. “I’m not saying she would have beaten him but I think she was a little flat from the run before.”
The reason why he freshened her was to give her a break after a tough run three starts ago when last to Mazaz at Warwick Farm when ridden upside down.
She was out in front that day and Thompson said she was given no chance when ridden that way and if Corey Brown can sit her off the speed with cover she’ll show her true form.
“She just needs to be ridden very quiet,” Thompson said. “Three starts back she was out in front and you just can’t ride her like that which is why she pulled up with distress after the race. It knocked her about a bit and it took us a little while to get her back, but she’s there now. She’ll be back and then she can show her good turn of foot and hopefully get over the top of them with no problems.”
Thompson was going to race her on Wednesday on the Kensington track at Randwick but scratched her fearing the surface would have too much give in it.
She needs it bone dry to perform to her best and with the track set to be a good surface, Thompson is confident she can win before going on to bigger and better things.
“I’ve got a good record with Corey on my horses,” he said. “He’s had seven rides for me for three wins and a second so it’s great to have him on. If she can win I’ll have a look at a Saturday race. I think she’s definitely up to an off-season Saturday race. I’ve just got to find the right one.”
INSIDE MAIL WITH MATT JONES
RACE 5 (3.05pm)
1. Good Host comes off the Country Championships Final but is better suited to the extra 200m and the horse that won the Country Championships (Victorem) will go on to Group races soon. 2. Love None also raced behind a country racing star last start and will love getting out to 1600m as long as she handles the tighter track. 4. Newton has been working up to this trip but will have to find a length or two to win, but this is his pet distance. Best of the rest is 6. Fancy Nickers
BETTING STRATEGY: GOOD HOST to win.
RACE 6 (3.40pm)
Trainer Glen Thompson believes he’s got the best runner in this race, 3. Just Keep Giving. She ran second to Furore before he went on to Group 1 races. She was scratched from the Randwick meeting on Wednesday and needs a dry track. 2. Celebris gets out to a distance that looks to what he needs and should thrive over, especially if he’s racing handy. 4. Word Games needs to lift to beat Celebris this time after they clashed over 1600m last time and he was well held.
BETTING STRATEGY: JUST KEEP GIVING to win.
RACE 7 (4.20pm)
2. Heat Haze has proved to be a nice filly at her three career runs and has had two nice lead-up trials to make sure she’s ready for a 1350m trip first-up, which isn’t always easy. She takes on the older male runner 3. Social Pirate but he is up in grade. He can still win, though, because he is in good form and a slight drop back in distance won’t hurt his chances. 4. Stradance races well at home and at the trip. She’s very experienced and doesn’t mind a bit of give in the ground so any rain will enhance her chances of making it win No. 11 here.
BETTING STRATEGY: HEAT HAZE to win.
RACE 8 (4.55pm)
1. Siam has to carry 60kg, which isn’t easy at this level for a three-year-old, but he’s very talented and gets a cushy run from barrier two and races well fresh. 2. Artemis Rose gets the blinkers on and drops back from city racing but wasn’t disgraced when just over two lengths off Lisdoonvarna last start at Warwick Farm, and this is winnable. 3. Montrachet beat a handy filly last start in town and she has been placed to win again here. 6. Popular has form behind ATC Oaks winner Unforgotten, which has proved to be very good, but she might want further.
BETTING STRATEGY: MONTRACHET to win.
Horse Racing: Winx has equalled Black Caviar’s record of 25 consecutive wins after reeling in the field in the Queen Elizabeth Stakes.
Winx joins Black Caviar on 25 consecutive wins
RACE 4 (2.50pm)
2. Stanley Park returned to form first-up and should only get better as the distances rise, and he gets that here and should thrive at his first go over 1400m. 3. Kijito has been producing some eye-catching runs of late but just hasn’t been able to get the job done. He has had a month between runs so look for him to be handier in the run. 5. Salad Dodger has form behind Country Championships Final winner Victorem and his best racing days are still in front of him. 8. Secrets No More is too consistent to leave out.
BETTING STRATEGY: KIJITO to win.
RACE 5 (3.27pm)
This has to be the day for 2. Hashtag Hero after finishing second at his past four starts. He will get every chance from a good gate. 3. Saint Denis was caught a bit deep last start and still finished third. The blinkers will be taken off for this. 5. Yeah The Boys looked like he was going to go straight past them and win last start but he peaked on his run at the 100m to finish third. The drop back in distance helps. 6. Bring Euro is an ex-Chris Waller runner and these horses tend to win at some point when they are racing in the bush.
BETTING STRATEGY: SAINT DENIS to win.
RACE 6 (4.05pm)
1. Western Alliance has just fallen short at its past two but he loves Coffs Harbour and the distance, so from barrier eight, despite the big weight, trust him to race really well once again. 2. Givem Hell is on the way up and these are the horses that tend to win these types of races. She is the likely leader and will take running down despite being a three-year-old filly with 58kg, which is the query, but this isn’t a very strong race. 4. Smiling All has placed a few times this preparation but hasn’t won in a long time.
BETTING STRATEGY: GIVEM HELL to win.
RACE 7 (4.40pm)
1. Hotel Drive hasn’t won for a while but he returned well from a spell and this race isn’t harder and he still races well second-up. 7. Super Tonic has raced in better events than this and was great last start on the Gold Coast and is unbeaten at her home track. 9. Fashion Model absolutely flew home on a heavy track last start and on that run you would have to think she will be in the firing line again. 6. Passion To Win has a nice race record and trialled well but hasn’t won yet in three first-up runs.
BETTING STRATEGY: SUPER TONIC to win.