[ad_1]

*Conditions Apply. Excl VIC, NSW, SA & WA. Gamble Responsibly

Nine races will be run and won at Randwick on Saturday, backing up from their Boxing Day program on Wednesday. The weather is fine, the track is soft (5) and the rail is out six metres for the entire circuit.

Race 1. (13:05) 2019 Membership Hcp 1000m

Back Me

12 Yitai Synergy looks pretty good. Team Snowden trained filly who could be off to the Magic Millions with a win here. She has looked outstanding in her two trials to date, and has shown real professionalism as a juvenile, jumping on speed, relaxing and then showing change up speed when asked. If she runs up to her trials, I think she’ll be winning.

Danger

10 Iconic Star is a Brazen Beau filly for Kris Lees which is having her first start. She has had just the one trial, which came just under two weeks back at Gosford over 800m when leading all the way and looking to do it rather comfortably under Mitch Bell. Time was nothing flash but it was okay relative to the morning. Always on guard with Kris Lees when he debuts one in town, and she does hold a nomination for the Magic Millions.

Long Shot

For exotics I’d be including 8 For Love, a Matty Smith trained daughter of Unencumbered, and the stock of the ill fated sire is absolutely flying at the moment. This girl has had two trials, the latest over 900m at Canterbury when a narrow second and although pushed out, did respond well and was only beaten in the last stride. Interesting to see how she goes.

Race 2. (13:40) Tab Highway Hcp (c3) 1100m

Back Me

5 Risk And Reward on top in what looks a rather tricky Highway. Resumed over 1000m here a fortnight ago in a Highway where he was wide no cover on speed and couldn’t finish it off behind impressive winner Sei Stella. Depth here doesn’t look as strong and with better luck in running I think he’ll be quite dangerous and his prior form doesn’t read too bad.

Danger

2 Ori On Fire is a Cameron Crockett trained five year old who had trialled up really well prior to resuming in the feature sprint on Mudgee Cup Day where he was a bit disappointing I thought. Sat on speed, was under riding a fair way out and never really looked like the winner behind Our Dasha. He’s much better than that, so give him another chance.

Long Shot

10 Destiny’s Reward can add some value to exotics. He comes through the Sei Stella Highway mentioned above and his effort from the back off a moderate gallop was pretty good I thought. Only carries 50.5kg after the claim and if he can sit a touch closer in the run, I think he can only run well, especially on firmer footing from the draw.

Race 3. (14:15) Events By Atc (bm88) 1400m

Back Me

8 Bondi looks the one to beat. He was a bit of an enigma once upon a time but in recent times he’s becoming more consistent. Resumed in the Wyong 3&4YO Magic Millions and closed off strongly from the back to run second to Problem Solver. Back to his own age now and up to 1400m looks ideal, and he does have a touch of class on his side.

Danger

Hard to knock a mare in form and that is what 3 Sweet Deal is. John Thompson trains her, winning her last two, taking on the boys and beating them two before facing her own sex and repeating the dose. You could make an argument both ways as to whether this is weaker or stronger than what she’s been racing. Slightly stronger, but gets the sweet draw.

Long Shot

1 New Universe is ticking over well but can’t quite crack it for a win. Ran over 1400m at Rosehill three weeks where he last in a fast run race and he tried hard but the leader/winner Irithea ran along and proved too good. His record, numerically, at Randwick, doesn’t read great, but he has run some good races here in the past, so it’s a bit misleading.

Race 4. (14:55) Vale John Marshall (bm76) 1400m

Back Me

3 Mister Songman looks the horse to beat. Former Tassie galloper who has been quite good in two runs for the WaterBott team, the latest coming a fortnight back here when on speed and fighting on strongly to run a close up third to Deprive. Up to 1400m looks perfect. Just has to get on speed without doing too much work and he’ll look the winner for the most part I’m sure.

Danger

I’m interested to see how 6 Shock Alert goes. Bjorn Baker trains this gelding, who can be hit and miss at times but at his best, he’s up to these for sure. Can sprint well fresh and there looks to be intent for a first up assault. Two slick trial wins, the latest at 1300m. Looks wound up enough to my eye to run a bold race fresh at seven furlongs.

Long Shot

9 Fuchu is a son of All Too Hard for Kim Waugh who has won his past couple at the provincials. Just got the job done at Newcastle two back before repeating the dose at Wyong and his win there was very good because he spotted them a start on the turn and never really looked like winning until the final few strides. Think he can run well despite the class/depth rise.

Race 5. (15:35) Hyland Boxing Day Sale (bm78) 1800m

Back Me

9 Zip A Dee Doo Dah has had a great opening prep in Australia for Kris Lees. He was unwanted in betting last time at Canterbury but despite the market saying no, he ran a beauty without much luck behind Fuel, who dominated from the front. Think the bigger track and rise to 1800m looks perfect. I think he and Asterius are the two to beat here.

Danger

He’s ready to win 3 Asterius but the gate has put me off. He has been outstanding in two runs back from a break. Unlucky resumption behind Sweet Deal before racing over 1500m at Rosehill and running a narrow third to Reflectivity. Randwick 1800m, third up with improvement to come, he looks so well placed…just wish he drew a better barrier.

Long Shot

11 Laussel is a James Cummings trained mare who steps out to an ideal trip. She comes through the Reflectivity race from three weeks ago where she was just off the speed and tried hard all the way when a close up fifth to the Team Hawkes runner. Think she’ll appreciate extra ground and with the right run can fill a minor spot. But will need to improve sharply to win.

Race 6. (16:15) hristmas Classic 1200m

Back Me

Big fan of 8 Problem Solver and I’m confident she can measure up. I liked her at odds to beat the cat that is Invincible Star in the 3&4YO Magic Millions at Wyong and if you were on, it was a painless watch from the 400m onwards. She dashed right away and ran really good time. Off that, she should be fine here and I think she has room for improvement. Hopefully she’s at each way odds.

Danger

I would be leaning the way of 1 Alizee but the gate just puts me off. I think there are enough question marks to just sit back and watch but clearly on ability/class, she’s got a few lengths on these. Hasn’t raced since scoring an outstanding win in the Queen Of The Turf during the Championships. Being aimed at the All Star Mile, so this will be a cameo before being set for that, and her two trials leading in have been great. Can she win giving them a start?

Long Shot

At 1200m I’d say no, but he’s such a tease is 5 Husson Eagle that I have to include him. He resumed down the Flemington straight a fortnight back and closed off strongly late to run a close up third to Whispering Brook. He seems a 1000m-1100m specialist, but if they go quick here and he gets a drag up into the straight, he could well be effective.

Race 7. (16:55) Tab Rewards (bm94) 1600m

Back Me

7 Gresham for me. Change of tactics last time were to ride more positive and that is what happened. He found the front, looked to travel well and gave a really good kick but couldn’t quite see it through and was nabbed late by Penske. Think with cover, he’ll be far more effective and third up at the mile with weight relief looks an ideal recipe for mine.

Danger

8 Reflectivity is racing really well at the moment. Just found Organza too good two back before racing again at Rosehill where he was tardy away but Brock Ryan kept his cool and rode the lovely race to guide the All Too Hard gelding home. Little bit of a query at a strong mile, but he’s just about in career best form and has to be respected here.

Long Shot

I reckon 9 Vaucluse Bay is ticking over nicely. Chris Waller trains and this gelding is two weeks between runs after racing at this track/distance on Villiers Day where he wasn’t too bad in defeat from the back behind Tip Top, beaten just under four lengths. Think he might want further, and was accepted for a 2100m race last Saturday so he’s an interesting runner.

Race 8. (17:35) Australian Turf Club (bm78) 1200m

Back Me

4 Deprive looks the good thing on the program. Just didn’t handle the bog first up at Warwick Farm behind subsequent winner Heart Conquered before getting back on firmer footing here a fortnight back and aided by a peach from Bowman, he proved far too good. Should get even firmer footing this time around and we saw in the trials on dry ground how explosive his change up speed was. Really keen.

Danger

6 Southern Lad is a promising animal for John O’Shea who gets another chance at Saturday grade. Was okay two back at this level behind Sweet Deal before going to the Friday night meeting at Canterbury and getting the job done. Kept up to the mark with a nice trial behind Alizee, gets the claim for Robbie Dolan and with luck, he can threaten.

Long Shot

5 Junglized is three weeks between runs since resuming over 1100m at Rosehill where he was up near a pretty fast speed and he had every right to drop out but he kept finding and was only beaten a couple of lengths by Bon Amis. Second up record is good and he’s got the right racing pattern, plus a good dosage of toughness. Outside winning claims with a good run near the pace.

Race 9. (18:15) Summer Racing (bm78) 1200m

Back Me

1 Savvan is a handy mare for John O’Shea who has been a bit of a tease for a long time. In saying that, I think the Kensington win at the end of last prep looks to have done her confidence the world of good. Trialled up very well prior to resuming here where she ran a close up third to surprise winner Star Reflection. Good second up record and this race is much easier.

Danger

5 Pumpkin Pie looks a threat. This mare was formerly with Danny Williams but is now with Richard Freedman. She has showed good talent since day one and has been touted as a blacktype class mare. Just hasn’t quite done the job. Now with Freedman, she’s looked great in a couple of trials and can sprint well fresh. Just want a market push.

Long Shot

3 Charlayne is a Chris Waller trained mare who was first up off a bleeding attack in the Star Reflection race from a fortnight back here. She got too far back in the run and never really looked likely but was more than sound at the end, beaten just over four lengths. Think she’ll take good improvement from that and at her best she can certainly beat these.

BEST BET: Race Eight Number 4 Deprive

NEXT BEST: Race One Number 12 Yitai Synergy

LONG SHOT: Race Five Number 9 Zip A Dee Doo Dah

 

Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):

Leg One: 1, 2, 5, 8

Leg Two: 3, 7, 8, 9, 10

Leg Three: 4

Leg Four: 1, 2, 3, 5

$50 Investment= 62.50% of the dividend if successful

We recommend BET365 for all Quadrella punters. Sign-up at Bet365.com.au via this link!

All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.





*Conditions Apply. Excl VIC, NSW, SA & WA. Gamble Responsibly

*Conditions Apply. Excl VIC, NSW, SA & WA. Gamble Responsibly

* All Offers and Promotions posted in this article exclude NSW residents.



[ad_2]

Article Source