2.25 ASCOT: Long Walk Hurdle
Three is the magic number for a Long Walk Hurdle winner. Finishing off the podium last time out means it’s almost impossible to take this Christmas cracker.
So from this year’s hopefuls we can put a line through Agrapart, Garo De Juilley, Sam Spinner and West Approach who were all fourth or worse.
Nine of the past 10 scorers had run at least once earlier in the season which spells bad news for the fancied Call Me Lord, Soul Emotion and Top Notch who all last saw a racecourse in the spring.
This hasn’t been a race for outsiders with 13-2 the longest price of a winner in the past decade. So It looks a tall order for The Mighty Don at around 25-1.
Younevercall has shown his best form over shorter trips so is overlooked.
So that leaves a shootout between Paisley Park and Unowhatimeanharry.
Unowhatimeanharry has a major disadvantage in being a 10-year-old although he did win this race in 2016 and several horses have taken this more than once but he was no better than third 12 months ago.
So PAISLEY PARK gets the nod as an improving staying hurdler who was impressive when scoring at Haydock last time.