JOE Pride is throwing his horses into the deep end in at Newcastle’s bumper meeting on Friday but he says all four runners will be more than competitive in their respective races.
Miss Que and La Chica Bella have both drawn wide in the Group 3 Tibbie Stakes (1400m), but Pride says it shouldn’t affect their chances too much.
“The wide draw certainly isn’t a problem for La Chica Bella. She’s drawn wide in quite a few of her better runs,” Pride said. “Miss Que never seems to draw a good gate but she’s covered ground before to win and I think she likes a bit of room so it’s probably not a bit issue and she’ll be midfield and hopefully getting a cart into the race.”
MATT JONES’S BEST BETS
BEST BET: GIRL TUESDAY (Race 2, No.2)
She’s just going to be even better out in trip and should do what she did last start and come over the top of them.
NEXT BEST: KAONIC (Race 8, No.16)
He’s back in form and will go on to a Group 1 race after this. He’ll get a cushy run from the gate.
VALUE BET: MISS QUE (Race 6, No.7)
She’s got the wide gate, which boosts her odds. But if she gets luck, she’s got the class to win this.
LATEST BETTING: TAB FIXED ODDS
Race 5: 1, 2, 8, 11;
Race 6: 2, 3, 7, 12;
Race 7: 1, 3, 5, 12;
Race 8: 4, 5, 9, 12, 16.
TRAINER TO WATCH
CHRIS WALLER could easily win four races, starting with Girl Tuesday and ending it with a host of chances in the last.
JOCKEY TO WATCH
KERRIN MCEVOY’s rides are fantastic and it’s hard to see him not walking away with a winner or two.
SCROLL DOWN FOR MATT’S EXTENDED PREVIEW & TIPS
BEST BET: HOLY EMPRESS (Race 4, No.11)
She flew home on debut from a wide gate and this time she should be able to be a touch closer in the run to give her a better chance.
Miss Que has shown promise from day one and has run second to the smart Sugar Bella in a the Wenona Girl Stakes. Pride say it’s only a matter of time before she wins a Group race.
“I’m pretty confident she will win one,” Pride said.
“She’s only lightly raced and has plenty of upside and talent and I think we’ve found a nice race for her here. She’s had a nice trial to top her off and she went really well.
“I’m pretty happy to write that second-up run off due to the wet track. She’s very genuine and is much better suited on top of the ground.”
Pride says Miss Que is his top chance in the race but he thinks her stablemate will fly under the radar and she’s won two of her past four races.
“La Chica Bella is a good little mare,” he said. “You wouldn’t normally think of her as a Group mare but I think she can run a cheeky race.”
The grand old stayer Destiny’s Kiss will get his third chance to win the Group 3 Newcastle Cup (2300m) after finishing fifth in 2014 and 2017.
He comes off a sixth placing to Carzoff in the Wyong Cup but he gets an important weight relief on the winner as they face off again on Friday.
“He’s got good form on both wet and dry tracks but that most important thing for him is getting out to 2300m,” Pride said.
“He gets to his right trip and has weight relief. I thought his last run was pretty good but I thought he looked anchored with 61kg which he’s never won with.
“I know it’s only 3kg but it makes a big difference to him and he’ll take improvement out of that run and I think he’s pretty spot on.”
New Tipperary lines up in a hot Group 3 Cameron Handicap (1500m) field and he ran a nice race last start to be just two lengths behind Best Of Days over 1400m. But he’s won three from six second-up so punters can expect to see a new horse.
“He went really well last start even though he’s not a first-up horse and he was closing off pretty well,” Pride said. “He’s got a terrific second-up record and I aim him at races second-up. I did it last preparation with the Scone Cup. He didn’t have any luck that day.
“It’s hard to tell but I’d say he improves three or four lengths second-up and he’s done it too many times to say it isn’t true and he’ll go really well.”
IT used to be a case of “get to the front and hold on” for Halliday Road but trainer Theresa Bateup believes he can be more than a 1000m horse this preparation.
That’s why he should be strong to the line in Friday’s Class 3 Handicap (1000m) at Goulburn.
“He’s a free-rolling type and he’ll go forward again from barrier four,” Bateup said.
“He’s getting a bit older now and I think I can try him over a bit further now. Early on he couldn’t get a yard past 1000m. He runs a great sectional and he rarely runs a bad race. With a few runs under his belt now this preparation he should be ready to produce his best.”
The gelding only won once from 24 starts at the trip but has run a place 10 times, including three at Goulburn, and he jumps from barrier four with Jess Taylor aboard. He’s fourth-up now and is rock-hard fit and ready to run a strong race.
LATEST BETTING: TAB FIXED ODDS
“He’s ‘Mr Versatile’ but has been hard to place because he’s a handy little horse that isn’t city grade,” Bateup said. “He’s not a big horse but he’s strong and coming down in weight now will help.”
Halliday Road wouldn’t mind a bit of rain on the track as would his stablemate Zariz Alwyns who races in a Benchmark 58 Handicap (2100m) and it will be his first time over a long trip.
She’s had two runs at a mile to get her ready for today’s test. She’s won Nowra’s Horse of the Year award and Bateup’s done a great job to get her winning after she arrived at her stable without success from 15 runs.
“She’s been giving me the impression for a while that she will get out over a trip,” Bateup said. “She’s such an honest mare and I think she’ll run it out. She’s a backmarker, though, so she needs that little bit of luck and the race run to suit.
“She’s been hitting the line of late in races that haven’t been run to suit her. I’m quite interested to see how she goes.”
Sky Racing Update Sept 13th
Sky Racing Update Sept 13th
INSIDE MAIL WITH MATT JONES
RACE 1 (12.50pm)
3. Chain Of Fools gets her chance to go better than last start when second to stablemate Cormac and she’ll stay out the trip strongly. 2. Ocean Walzer brings nice form up from Victoria and the stable/jockey combination is formidable. 1. Whangamata won well last start and should be up on speed giving a good sight but he’ll still have to improve to keep winning. 4. Red Dubawi should be fine at the trip for the first time.
BET: CHAIN OF FOOLS to win.
RACE 2 (1.25pm)
It’s hard to not like 2. Girl Tuesday here after watching her over 1400m on debut. She’s bred to be even better over this trip and she was so strong through the line last start but took some time to wind up. 1. So Bizarre is rock-hard fit and in form and could be the main threat. He’s the likely leader and will be hard to get past. 6. Cinderconi was hitting the line well last start and is an each-way hope. 5. Chosen Prince ran second to Scratches last start and it lost a photo finish in town on Wednesday.
BET: GIRL TUESDAY to win.
RACE 3 (2.05pm)
13. Sir Owen was spelled after a nice debut run and has won both his lead-up trials in top fashion for a leading stable. There’s no doubt the Bjorn Baker stable has a high opinion of 9. Big Bad Bruce and he trialled very well, coming from behind unlike his debut run. 2. C’est Davinchi has been less than a length off winning four times in five starts and gets James McDonald on from an inside draw. 4. Coppergate has some nice form behind him and might present good value.
BET: SIR OWEN to win.
RACE 4 (2.40pm)
10. Galina faces her easiest test to date after runs in the Silver Slipper and some smart races. The wide gate is the only issue. 9. Collectively has taken some time to get to the races and trialled like she was ready to race well on debut. 6. Rose Of Savannah raced well first-up and should benefit from that run but still needs to find a length. 3. Infinitely Perfect was well supported on debut but ran second. She do well again here but will need a touch of luck from the wide gate.
BET: GALINA to win.
RACE 5 (3.20pm)
1. Outrageous has been racing at the top for most of his career and ran a respectable race last start but his rival here 9. Mizzy beat him home by a few lengths that day and they’ll jump side-by-side. 8. Pitch Perfect basically had a barrier trial last start when she couldn’t get out so forget she ran 10th. 2. Aramayo will need a good ride from a wide gate but has shown he can get back and come home hard. 5. Morpheus is getting better with racing and if he keeps improving he’ll run a nice race with Hugh Bowman on board. 11. Sunreel has weaker form but she’s racing at home and bolted in last start.
BET: Quinella 1, 11.
RACE 6 (3.55pm)
2. Savatiano couldn’t have been more impressive in the Mona Lisa Stakes last start when easily defeating a handy field and she can go on with it despite the wide gate. 3. Princess Posh loves her racing and always puts in an honest performance and will get the perfect run. Joe Pride’s pair 7. Miss Que and 8. La Chica Bella have drawn wide but if they get the breaks they’ll be very hard to beat. Miss Que is going to win a big race soon. 12. Tarabai was only beaten by Madam Rouge last start and that’s fantastic form.
BET: MISS QUE to win.
RACE 7 (4.35pm)
1. Auvray is going to be much improved here after running into the red-hot Avilius last start and the trip is more appropriate. 3. Carzoff is flying this preparation and it will be hard to back against him after a dominant Wyong Cup win but this is a stronger field. 5. Harper’s Choice gets a 2kg weight swing on Carzoff and that could be enough to bridge a four-length gap but it’s a tough draw. It’s not going to be wet but that doesn’t mean veteran 2. Destiny’s kiss can’t pop up and win like he tends to once a preparation. 12. Goathland was great last start against some carnival-bound stayers so he’s back.
BET: Quinella 3, 12.
RACE 8 (5.10pm)
Can Hugh Bowman get 5. Tom Melbourne home? He just needs to get him to settle better early on and he’ll be stronger late in a tough race. 9. I Am Serious has a wide gate but is a versatile horse who could go back or forward. Victorian 10. Plein Ciel brings good enough form up here to be competitive. Forget 12. Sambro’s first-up run when he was luckless behind traffic. 16. Kaonic is showing off his Epsom Handicap claims and he’s back in form after a poor autumn. He races off the speed so he might need a touch of luck from the gate but he can win again. If 18. Paret starts, watch out!
BET: KAONIC to win.