Kerry Parker knows if things fall favourably for Tenorino and Virgilio on the Kensington track at Randwick on Friday night he could snare a winning double.
The pair go around in the final two races at the twilight meeting and haven’t been far off their victors in recent races.
“They are both racing well but just need a touch of luck to win in town,” Parker said.
“They can earn some good money for their owners at this meeting.”
THE EARLY OIL: FLEMINGTON
TOP PICKS: WEEKEND BEST BETS
RACE WATCH: DAVO’S BEST FOR WARWICK FARM
BEST BETS WITH MATT JONES: KENSINGTON
BEST BET: TOROSO (Race 7, No. 8)
Placed to win second-up after producing a good run fresh, which is a good sign for today’s race. He won his only second-upstart to date.
NEXT BEST: MAID MARILYN (Race 2, No. 2)
Comes off a good win last start and the form from that race has stacked up well enough to be confident she can get the job done in town against a fairly even field.
BEST ROUGHIE: SMELTING (Race 4, No. 8)
Should have won on debut but was held up. She really hit the line hard that day and the fact the stable is coming to town says a bit about its opinion of her.
BEST EXOTIC: QUADDIE
Leg 1: 3, 8, 9, 10. Leg 2: 1, 4, 7. Leg 3: 4, 7, 11, 12. Leg 4: 3, 4, 6, 8.
TRAINER TO WATCH: TEAM HAWKES
Could have a nice evening at Randwick. Skyann, Tell Me, Kilmacurragh and Groundbreak appear good chances.
JOCKEY TO WATCH: JASON COLLETT
Rides Flying Pierro and Smelting and they appear good
Virgilio starts things off for the stable in a Benchmark 76 Handicap (1150m). He comes off a fifth placing at Canterbury last start and was three lengths off the impressive Bon Amis two starts before.
He jumps from barrier 11 with Corey Brown in the saddle and Parker thinks if he can be ridden more conservatively he will have a better chance of outlasting his rivals.
“He loomed up last start but just didn’t finish off at Canterbury,” Parker said. “I thought he was going to run a place.
“I’m hoping he can get back into good form on the Kensington track now. I want to ride him quiet. He’s best ridden back off the tempo where he can hit the line better.”
The Snippetson five-year-old is coming back to his right grade now.
He hasn’t been disgraced in Saturday company but he was a length of two off that class of horse.
“His rating went through the roof early and he had to race in Saturday grade, where he held his own running fifth and sixth and not being far off the winner,” Parker said.
“Sometimes a draw can work for you. I’ve had horses drawn one and they have ended up on the outside fence.”
Tenorino is a good hope in the final race, a Benchmark 70 Handicap (1400m), after he ran 1½ lengths behind Zidane first-up on November 30 over 1100m.
His record says he improves greatly second-up and four of his five wins have been over tonight’s distance.
“Tenorino went super first-up but he found back luck here and there because he gets back and needs the gaps to open up for him,” Parker said.
“He hit the line very well at Canterbury last start and I think he gets into this race nicely.
“He pulled up really well and I think the jump from 1100m up to 1400m will suit him.
“I’ve only given him an 800m gallop before that first-up run, hoping he was sharp enough for 1100m.
“The 1400m now looks ideal. That’s where he has won most of his races.”
Tenorino will also look to come off the speed and will only carry 57.5kg after Sam Weatherley’s claim.
Barrier nine is a bit awkward but his racing pattern means he will be able to drop out the back early and not be used up trying to find a spot on the speed.
“He’s an extremely honest little horse,” Parker said. “I got him at the end of last preparation and he’s very genuine.
“He tries very hard and if he just gets things to go his way he’s a chance.
“He will be ridden quiet off a genuine tempo. That’s the way to go with him.”
INSIDE MAIL WITH MATT JONES: KENSINGTON
A Million Dreams is closing in on a win and jockey James McDonald will help. He’s rock-hard fit and will likely sit just off the leaders before pouncing. Home Scene has been racing in a similar pattern but again has drawn wide, which has been costly of late. Knowitall Jack is owned by Hall of Fame jockey Shane Dye and he’s put Mark Newnham in charge of him. His trial form suggests he’s a nice type. Forgive Skyann for a last placing on debut after she was squeezed out of a run. She can bounce back.
BET: A MILLION DREAMS TO WIN
Maid Marilyn comes off a win at Newcastle against Seababe, who ran third behind Zeppelin on Wednesday at Wyong, so the form is sound. Toryjoy will be in the market again. But with one win from seven starts, punters will almost give up on her if she doesn’t win this evening. She’s ready to do it third-up. Stock Up is a huge chance if she runs (double nominated), while Celtic Love beat Cuba last start at Wyong and he won on Wednesday. Tycoon Street and Ivy’s Court come off wins in lesser grade but they were good ones so don’t rule them out in an open affair.
BET: MAID MARILYN TO WIN
Flying Pierro has had a luckless preparation after three consecutive runs over 1400m. He races over the same trip again. Does he want 1600m now, though? Expect him to be running home hard and could be the value runner. Darkhawk was good on debut and, like many, will take plenty of improvement out of that. But he has drawn terribly. Nobu was taking ground off stablemate Word For Word late last start but the latter was on debut, so she will be harder to beat this time.
BET: FLYING PIERRO EACH WAY
It’s hard not to be impressed with the way Foxpack has trialled before her debut. She does take on the more experienced Unify, who looked to be going as well in their latest trial and she has form behind The Art Of The Bar so is a threat. Smelting should have won on debut when held up at Nowra and now comes straight to town. A nice each-way hope. Dunbrody Power had one run (third) before being spelled and her trial form suggests she has come back well and can go to another level.
BET: SMELTING EACH WAY
Kilmacurragh drops in grade and the winkers come off for the first time. He has drawn to be in the box seat and can bounce back here. Temprado is back in his right grade and will appreciate the sting out of the track. Saint Katarina is in good form and the race fitness should give her an edge on stablemate Allcash, who is first-up over 1800m with just one trial. But Chris Waller is a master trainer of middle-distance races. Missybeel hasn’t been over this trip yet but is racing like she wants it and her breeding says she will run it out.
BET: SAINT KATARINA TO WIN
Tell Me is shooting for three in a row. Should again push forward from the barrier and find a good spot on the speed. Sikhing Glory is double nominated but if he runs here he’s going to be a huge chance on form. Is third-up and ready to peak. Virgilio is an each-way hope on recent form, while All Too Royal is another who will go close if he runs here and not at Warwick Farm tomorrow. Bull Market runs well fresh and will come from off the speed.
BET: TELL ME TO WIN
Toroso won his only second-up run. Off his last-start effort on return from a spell he looks like he can do it again from the inside barrier. Carluca and Tenorino are each-way hopes. Groundbreak goes up to 1400m, which is a big plus. Is down in grade so he’s a hope again. Oakfield Captain is up in grade but deserves to be here after a strong first-up win. He may be suspect second-up but has only had nine starts, so it might be a stat to ignore. Don’t be surprised to see Pianissimo, Love Shack Baby and Thunder Pace give a good sight.
BET: TOROSO TO WIN